Hello Everyone!
In true cycle 4 fashion, price made two $10,000 sprints from the lows but is stagnating once again, waiting on the next move.
No matter how high Bitcoin climbs, there’s a sense of disappointment among the community because of Altcoin’s dreadful price action since March 2024 and the continuous delay of Altseason.
This cycle’s price action has just been plain strange… wasn’t 2025 supposed to be the year of the bull market? How are we halfway through it with nothing to show for it?
It’s official… this is the slowest cycle in crypto history.
Does that mean dampened potential? Will crypto perform worse because the cycle is slower? Since Altseason hasn’t arrived, does that mean it will never come?
These are the questions tossing around in everyone’s minds as we can only hold and hope. We have no control over what comes next, which can be daunting.
In a recent video, “The First Cycle Top”, I explored the possibility that the Halving Cycles Theory First Cycle Top could have already happened:
This is probably confusing to most people… and rightfully so. How is that it for a First Cycle Top? What about Altseason?
This is where things start to get into the nitty gritty.
How can this be true, but I also say that the entire bull market parabola is still left to go?
This brings us to the subject of today’s newsletter, the state of the cycle. What’s happened? What’s left?
We’ll break it all down.
Let’s jump into today’s newsletter!
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This Newsletter Will Cover…
Market Psychology - First Cycle Top, but Not
Data Analysis - Gas in The Tank
State of The Cycle